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| Industry
Omnibus
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In
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is knowledge creation. Industry Omnibus is an endeavor to
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Target
your ‘truly consuming’ homes better
Household Potential Index (HPI) from IRS |
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For long marketers and planners from all constituents
of advertising and marketing fraternity have been making their
considered assumptions and utilising surrogate measures to identify
and target the “core” prospects for their products
and services.
Socio Economic Classification (SEC) is often said
to be lacking in discriminating the truly potential households
and audience. Also, as we recognise, SEC is an indicator or a
pointer towards the “likely to consume” set but often
defies the reality of not pointing clearly towards the “consuming
class”, which is the purpose of any targeting by any marketer.
The draw back of using Monthly Household Income (MHI) lies in
the difficulty of capturing the correct data, as the respondents
are hesitant to disclose the correct MHI.
The various assumed variables as a topping to SEC (like durable
ownership, frequency of travel by air, intensity of consuming
various products and services, recency of purchase etc.) comes
with the negative aspect of “judgment” of the individuals
concerned, which is often debated by others.
MRUC and Hansa Research Group have put in over nine
months of intensive analyses and iterations with the raw data
of Indian Readership Survey (IRS), which has the unique advantage
of a “truly continuous” data of over a two million
records of households and equal number of individuals spanning
across India. This data has been collated over the last decade.
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Days
of judgment are over. Scientific method to segregate and target
the “consuming” class precisely has just begun, thanks
to the path-breaking concept of Household Potential Index (HPI)
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| Thanks to HPI concept, for the first
time in India, we have a measure that distinguishes the following
beautifully in Urban as well as Rural India. |
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a) Upper most segment
of the consuming class (the lakhpathis or crorepathis who also spend
and consume)
b) Middle segment which is the core target for
growth of very many categories
c) The lower most segment, which is the “volume
generator” for many FMCG categories and lower end durables
and services
The
HPI Concept
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| What is premium?
A car or a Video Camera? Colour TV or a handy cam? Right, it is
Video Camera or a handy cam, believes many. Something that is “wanted
by many” but “consumed by few” is our definition
of Premiumness.
Simply put, premuimness is defined as the inverse of penetration.
For example 41 per cent of all homes in India have Television. But
only 2 per cent have a flat TV. Hence homes with a flat TV is considered
to be “premium” by HPI measure.
The concept of HPI allocates high scores for less
penetrated product categories and services. On the other hand, lower
scores to higher penetrated categories or mass consumed categories.
Thereby, HPI eliminates judgmental factors and is therefore a more
systematic approach, making it applicable across all segments of
households, from the “super affluent” to the so-called
“desperates”.
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HPI
is a wholistic measure of potential, and not just based on few durables |
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In order to
ensure that a specific ownership of a durable or consumption of
a particular category of FMCG or services does not result in very
high scores, 50 different measures have been incorporated into the
HPI system.
HPI considers a wide spectrum of categories from Durables, FMCGs,
Services, which are covered in IRS and scores are assigned in
a scientific and automated method to products owned, consumed/
used. In addition to product categories, HPI also takes into account
the key differentiating household demographics, such as, Highest
Education in the household, Number of working members, education
of the housewife, area occupied by the household vis-à-vis
the number of people residing etc.
Take a look at the table below. Going by the definition of SEC,
A1 should be the most affluent class. But it is not the reality.
As per HPI, if we look at the top 1 per cent of consuming homes
in India, only 39 per cent is from the uppermost SEC A1 and the
remaining 61 per cent is from other SECs in Urban and Rural segments.
Conversely speaking, 61 per cent of SEC A1 does not feature in
the Top 1 per cent of the consuming households.
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Table
1: Comparison of Dispersion of Households by SEC with Households
dispersion based on HPI Index
Figs in % ( Down – All India = 100)
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SEC |
Size
of segment |
HPITop
1 %
(Size Equal to SEC A1) |
HPITop
2.8 %
(Size Equal to SEC A1/A2) |
HPITop
5.3 %
(Size Equal to SEC A1,A2 & B1) |
A1 |
1 |
39 |
26 |
17 |
A2 |
1.8 |
31 |
28 |
23 |
B1 |
2.5 |
12 |
16 |
18 |
B2+R1 |
5.2 |
10 |
14 |
19 |
C |
6 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
D+R2 |
14.3 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
E+R3 |
35.3 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
R4 |
33.8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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Note : Urban SEC:
A1, A2, B1, B2, C, D, E1, E2 (Education X Occupation of the Chief
Wage Earner (CWE))
Rural SEC: R1, R2, R3, R4 (Education of the CWE X Type of the Household
(Pucca/ Semi Pucca/ Kaccha)
Similarly the table below highlights the affluence among some low
graded professions. |
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Figs
in 000s
| CWE'S
OCCUPATION - URBAN |
SEC
A1 |
Top
1% |
Unskilled
Workers |
- |
10 |
Skilled Workers |
- |
41 |
Petty
Trader |
- |
24 |
Shop
Owner |
- |
251 |
Industr./Businessmen |
505 |
400 |
Self-employed
prof. |
297 |
137 |
Clerk/Salesman |
- |
109 |
Supervisory
Level |
- |
112 |
Officer/Executive
- J |
- |
343 |
Officer/Executive
- M/S |
1254 |
515 |
Rural
Occupation |
- |
116 |
Through use of HPI, for the first time, all households in India,
both Urban & Rural can be mapped according to their potential
to own/ consume/ use as fixed by the HPI. HPI enables a direct
comparison of urban and rural on the same scale. The mean HPI
for different SECs are given in the table below. The average HPI
scores clearly indicate that SEC R1 is close to SEC B2 and SEC
R2 is close to SEC D of urban.
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| Table
2: Comparison of Mean HPI Scores by SEC – Urban and Rural India
matching |
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Figs
: Average HPI Scores
| SEC |
Mean HPI |
|
A1 |
100.7 |
|
A2 |
54.9 |
|
B1 |
28.2 |
|
B2 |
18.7 |
|
C |
11.9 |
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D |
6.8 |
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E |
4.4 |
|
R1 |
16.1 |
Close to SEC B2 |
R2 |
7.3 |
Close to SEC D |
R3 |
4.1 |
Close to SEC E |
R4 |
2.5 |
< Any Urban class |
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Can
the variables in HPI be replaced with new variables? |
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| HPI scores can be changed
and recomputed with time. Products lose their relative premiumness
over time and hence new variables need to be introduced as and when
the need is felt. For example, motorcycle, which is a growing category
today, need not be one of the parameters in HPI (say 5 years hence)
if majority of the consuming homes possess one in the year 2010. |
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HPI
– a new dimension to Market Prioritisation |
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| By a judicious combination
of HPI with the SEC system, marketers and planner can now refine the
market prioritisation. Whilst SEC system offers the feasibility of
understanding the “potential” of markets, HPI indicates
the “consumption intensity” of markets, which can be understood
from the mean HPI scores of markets.
The All India Urban enjoys a mean HPI score of 17. Markets like
Trivandrum, Ludhiana, Shimla, Lucknow, Amritsar, Hyderabad MC, Dehradun,
Guwahati, Ghaziabad and Jaipur feature in the top cities list. |
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Table
3 : Ranking of Top cities based on Mean HPI Scores
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Based on HPI |
Based on HPI |
| HPI Rank |
City / Area |
Mean HPI Score |
HPI Rank |
City / Area |
Mean HPI Score |
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Urban Mean |
16.5 |
|
Urban Mean |
16.5 |
1 |
Delhi - South |
54 |
26 |
Chennai UA |
23 |
2 |
Delhi - South |
48 |
27 |
Pune |
22 |
3 |
DELHI |
43 |
28 |
Mumbai Eastern Suburb |
22 |
4 |
Delhi - North |
39 |
29 |
Kozhikode |
21 |
5 |
Chandigarh |
34 |
30 |
Ahmedabad |
21 |
6 |
Mumbay City |
33 |
31 |
Faridabad |
21 |
7 |
Mumbai Western Suburb |
32 |
32 |
Indore |
21 |
8 |
Delhi - East |
32 |
33 |
Jabalpur |
21 |
9 |
Trivandrum |
31 |
34 |
Jalandhar |
21 |
10 |
Ludhiana |
30 |
35 |
Bangalore |
20 |
11 |
Shimla |
29 |
36 |
Hyderabad UA |
20 |
12 |
Lucknow |
29 |
37 |
Vadodara |
19 |
13 |
Mumbai |
28 |
38 |
Bhopal |
19 |
14 |
Chennai MC |
27 |
39 |
Jamshedpur |
18 |
15 |
Bangalore MC |
26 |
40 |
Coimbatore |
18 |
16 |
Chennai |
25 |
41 |
Nagpur |
18 |
17 |
Amritsar |
25 |
42 |
Patna |
17 |
18 |
Hyderabad MC |
25 |
43 |
Kolkata MC |
17 |
19 |
Dehradun |
25 |
44 |
Ranchi |
17 |
20 |
Kochi |
25 |
45 |
Meerut |
17 |
21 |
Mumbai New Bombay |
24 |
46 |
Allahabad |
17 |
22 |
Guwahati |
24 |
47 |
Kanpur |
16 |
23 |
Ghaziabad |
24 |
48 |
Aurangabad |
15 |
24 |
Jaipur |
23 |
49 |
Bareilly |
15 |
| 25 |
Hyderabad |
23 |
50 |
Gorakhpur |
15 |
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| Publishers and Broadcasters
too can effectively use the HPI index data, for understanding their
strengths and opportunity areas. It is notable that many of the “not
so high ranking” publications and TV channels show a much higher
potential in some the target segments, based on HPI scores.
In sum, based on the feedback from a cross section of potential
users of HPI, it is a very promising concept that is likely to change
the outlook of market and media planners and importantly, they way
audience identification and prioritization is implemented.
In order to enhance the value of this concept, your feedback and
valuable inputs may please be uplinked at mruc@vsnl.com
or vineet.sodhani@hansaresearch.com.
Watch out this space for the continuation of Part 2 of this article,
which highlights the wealth of HPI data with much more detailed
insights on potential of States, TV channels, Radio Stations &
Publications, very soon. |
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| Archive |
Most watched TV sporting events of 2005 - April
02, 06
Media forecast for upcoming Cricket series- February
06, 06
Regulating For Growth- December 05, 05
Trends in Mumbai print battle- October 29, 05
C
& S Homes: The big debate- September 14, 05
THE TV SPORT MAP IN 2004- June 14, 05
Asia Pacific C&S Markets 2005- Apr 28, 05
Consumer Spending Poll- Nov 08, 04
M- SPECTRA : MADISON’S MULTI-MEDIA REACH FREQUENCY ESTIMATOR-
Oct 04, 04
Effective Return on Cricket Ground Signage- Aug 18, 04
Media effect and its measurement in Rural India- Aug 11, 04
Euro 2004 – Performance Analysis- Jul 22, 04
Business Media Opportunities in India- Jul 10, 04
Election 2004: Monitoring of TV Coverage - Jun 26, 04
Election 2004 A Study by MAXUS - May 29, 04
SMS users are open to brand marketing - April 22, 04
Celebrity Endorsements Inside Out: A CyberMedia Study - April
17, 04
Understanding women Study by MCI - March 20, 04
Consultation Note on Issues relating to Broadcasting and Cable
Services -
Jan 01,
04
SMS Selling Made Smarter?!- Dec 04, 03
ICCO World report October 2003- Nov 20, 03
DTH Studyby Initiative media- sep 23, 03
IRS Study- sep 17, 03
CyberMedia Research - July 17, 03
Media Financial Wellbeing - A Study by ATG - June 06, 03
The "Surer" way of consumer contact -May 15 03
TOWN & COUNTRY - June 24 02
All
in All!
Mudra |
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