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Target your ‘truly consuming’ homes better
Household Potential Index (HPI) from IRS
 
For long marketers and planners from all constituents of advertising and marketing fraternity have been making their considered assumptions and utilising surrogate measures to identify and target the “core” prospects for their products and services.

Socio Economic Classification (SEC) is often said to be lacking in discriminating the truly potential households and audience. Also, as we recognise, SEC is an indicator or a pointer towards the “likely to consume” set but often defies the reality of not pointing clearly towards the “consuming class”, which is the purpose of any targeting by any marketer. The draw back of using Monthly Household Income (MHI) lies in the difficulty of capturing the correct data, as the respondents are hesitant to disclose the correct MHI.

The various assumed variables as a topping to SEC (like durable ownership, frequency of travel by air, intensity of consuming various products and services, recency of purchase etc.) comes with the negative aspect of “judgment” of the individuals concerned, which is often debated by others.

MRUC and Hansa Research Group have put in over nine months of intensive analyses and iterations with the raw data of Indian Readership Survey (IRS), which has the unique advantage of a “truly continuous” data of over a two million records of households and equal number of individuals spanning across India. This data has been collated over the last decade.

 
Days of judgment are over. Scientific method to segregate and target the “consuming” class precisely has just begun, thanks to the path-breaking concept of Household Potential Index (HPI)
 
Thanks to HPI concept, for the first time in India, we have a measure that distinguishes the following beautifully in Urban as well as Rural India.
 

a) Upper most segment of the consuming class (the lakhpathis or crorepathis who also spend and consume)

b) Middle segment which is the core target for growth of very many categories

c) The lower most segment, which is the “volume generator” for many FMCG categories and lower end durables and services

The HPI Concept

 
What is premium? A car or a Video Camera? Colour TV or a handy cam? Right, it is Video Camera or a handy cam, believes many. Something that is “wanted by many” but “consumed by few” is our definition of Premiumness.

Simply put, premuimness is defined as the inverse of penetration. For example 41 per cent of all homes in India have Television. But only 2 per cent have a flat TV. Hence homes with a flat TV is considered to be “premium” by HPI measure.

The concept of HPI allocates high scores for less penetrated product categories and services. On the other hand, lower scores to higher penetrated categories or mass consumed categories. Thereby, HPI eliminates judgmental factors and is therefore a more systematic approach, making it applicable across all segments of households, from the “super affluent” to the so-called “desperates”.

 
HPI is a wholistic measure of potential, and not just based on few durables
 
In order to ensure that a specific ownership of a durable or consumption of a particular category of FMCG or services does not result in very high scores, 50 different measures have been incorporated into the HPI system.

HPI considers a wide spectrum of categories from Durables, FMCGs, Services, which are covered in IRS and scores are assigned in a scientific and automated method to products owned, consumed/ used. In addition to product categories, HPI also takes into account the key differentiating household demographics, such as, Highest Education in the household, Number of working members, education of the housewife, area occupied by the household vis-à-vis the number of people residing etc.

Take a look at the table below. Going by the definition of SEC, A1 should be the most affluent class. But it is not the reality. As per HPI, if we look at the top 1 per cent of consuming homes in India, only 39 per cent is from the uppermost SEC A1 and the remaining 61 per cent is from other SECs in Urban and Rural segments.

Conversely speaking, 61 per cent of SEC A1 does not feature in the Top 1 per cent of the consuming households.

 
Table 1: Comparison of Dispersion of Households by SEC with Households dispersion based on HPI Index

Figs in % ( Down – All India = 100)
 
SEC
Size of segment
HPITop 1 %

(Size Equal to SEC A1)
HPITop 2.8 %

(Size Equal to SEC A1/A2)
HPITop 5.3 %

(Size Equal to SEC A1,A2 & B1)
A1
1
39
26
17
A2
1.8
31
28
23
B1
2.5
12
16
18
B2+R1
5.2
10
14
19
C
6
5
8
12
D+R2
14.3
2
5
7
E+R3
35.3
1
3
4
R4
33.8
0
0
0
 
Note : Urban SEC: A1, A2, B1, B2, C, D, E1, E2 (Education X Occupation of the Chief Wage Earner (CWE))
Rural SEC: R1, R2, R3, R4 (Education of the CWE X Type of the Household (Pucca/ Semi Pucca/ Kaccha)

Similarly the table below highlights the affluence among some low graded professions.
 
Figs in 000s

CWE'S OCCUPATION - URBAN SEC A1 Top 1%
Unskilled Workers
-
10
Skilled Workers
-
41
Petty Trader
-
24
Shop Owner
-
251
Industr./Businessmen
505
400
Self-employed prof.
297
137
Clerk/Salesman
-
109
Supervisory Level
-
112
Officer/Executive - J
-
343
Officer/Executive - M/S
1254
515
Rural Occupation
-
116


Through use of HPI, for the first time, all households in India, both Urban & Rural can be mapped according to their potential to own/ consume/ use as fixed by the HPI. HPI enables a direct comparison of urban and rural on the same scale. The mean HPI for different SECs are given in the table below. The average HPI scores clearly indicate that SEC R1 is close to SEC B2 and SEC R2 is close to SEC D of urban.
 
Table 2: Comparison of Mean HPI Scores by SEC – Urban and Rural India matching
 
Figs : Average HPI Scores

SEC Mean HPI  
A1
100.7
 
A2
54.9
 
B1
28.2
 
B2
18.7
 
C
11.9
 
D
6.8
 
E
4.4
 
R1
16.1
Close to SEC B2
R2
7.3
Close to SEC D
R3
4.1
Close to SEC E
R4
2.5
< Any Urban class

 
Can the variables in HPI be replaced with new variables?
 
HPI scores can be changed and recomputed with time. Products lose their relative premiumness over time and hence new variables need to be introduced as and when the need is felt. For example, motorcycle, which is a growing category today, need not be one of the parameters in HPI (say 5 years hence) if majority of the consuming homes possess one in the year 2010.
 
HPI – a new dimension to Market Prioritisation
 
By a judicious combination of HPI with the SEC system, marketers and planner can now refine the market prioritisation. Whilst SEC system offers the feasibility of understanding the “potential” of markets, HPI indicates the “consumption intensity” of markets, which can be understood from the mean HPI scores of markets.

The All India Urban enjoys a mean HPI score of 17. Markets like Trivandrum, Ludhiana, Shimla, Lucknow, Amritsar, Hyderabad MC, Dehradun, Guwahati, Ghaziabad and Jaipur feature in the top cities list.

 
Table 3 : Ranking of Top cities based on Mean HPI Scores
 
Based on HPI
Based on HPI
HPI Rank
City / Area
Mean HPI Score
HPI Rank
City / Area
Mean HPI Score
 
Urban Mean
16.5
 
Urban Mean
16.5
1
Delhi - South
54
26
Chennai UA
23
2
Delhi - South
48
27
Pune
22
3
DELHI
43
28
Mumbai Eastern Suburb
22
4
Delhi - North
39
29
Kozhikode
21
5
Chandigarh
34
30
Ahmedabad
21
6
Mumbay City
33
31
Faridabad
21
7
Mumbai Western Suburb
32
32
Indore
21
8
Delhi - East
32
33
Jabalpur
21
9
Trivandrum
31
34
Jalandhar
21
10
Ludhiana
30
35
Bangalore
20
11
Shimla
29
36
Hyderabad UA
20
12
Lucknow
29
37
Vadodara
19
13
Mumbai
28
38
Bhopal
19
14
Chennai MC
27
39
Jamshedpur
18
15
Bangalore MC
26
40
Coimbatore
18
16
Chennai
25
41
Nagpur
18
17
Amritsar
25
42
Patna
17
18
Hyderabad MC
25
43
Kolkata MC
17
19
Dehradun
25
44
Ranchi
17
20
Kochi
25
45
Meerut
17
21
Mumbai New Bombay
24
46
Allahabad
17
22
Guwahati
24
47
Kanpur
16
23
Ghaziabad
24
48
Aurangabad
15
24
Jaipur
23
49
Bareilly
15
25
Hyderabad
23
50
Gorakhpur
15
 
Publishers and Broadcasters too can effectively use the HPI index data, for understanding their strengths and opportunity areas. It is notable that many of the “not so high ranking” publications and TV channels show a much higher potential in some the target segments, based on HPI scores.

In sum, based on the feedback from a cross section of potential users of HPI, it is a very promising concept that is likely to change the outlook of market and media planners and importantly, they way audience identification and prioritization is implemented.

In order to enhance the value of this concept, your feedback and valuable inputs may please be uplinked at mruc@vsnl.com or vineet.sodhani@hansaresearch.com.

Watch out this space for the continuation of Part 2 of this article, which highlights the wealth of HPI data with much more detailed insights on potential of States, TV channels, Radio Stations & Publications, very soon.

 
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CyberMedia Research - July 17, 03
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TOWN & COUNTRY - June 24 02
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Mudra
 
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